The Case for Structural Equation Modeling in Clinical Trials

In this week’s blog, the CROS NT Biostatistics Methodology team presents a description of how Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) can be used in clinical trials. SEM is a set of mathematical models and statistical methods used today in biostatistics. However, its use in clinical trials has not been widely accepted yet. CROS NT has recently applied SEM methodology to a clinical trial and gives an overview on the topic.

biostatistics clinical trialsDescription

Structural Equation Modeling refers to a set of statistical methods which includes exploratory factor analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, path diagram, etc. In clinical trials it can be used efficaciously in complex exploratory studies that involve a wide number of observed and latent variables.

The interest of SEM is based on theoretical constructs, which are represented by the latent factors. Often we cannot measure the concept of interest (like intelligence, socio-economic status, a particular condition/disease, etc.). These variables that we cannot observe are called latent variables in SEM terminology.

However we can refer to observable indicators that are influenced by the latent variable. These variables are called observed variables. A typical example is the measurement of intelligence. The observed variables in this case could be some scores obtained by a series of tests about linguistic or arithmetic capabilities.

A study where a particular condition/disease is assessed by tests and results coming from different areas (physiology, hematology, etc.) is an environment where implementing SEM can be highly advantageous. Measurement techniques of latent variables (e.g. general physiological condition) combined with the causal relationship among them (e.g. smoke influences lung condition) allows the statistician to describe a complex situation and to measure the concept of interest (e.g. a particular disease or condition). Patterns of observed and latent variables cannot be modeled via regression or any techniques other than SEM.

Proven Method: CROS NT Case Study

CROS NT has experienced applying this new methodology to a clinical trial.

The SEM methodology allows modeling and also involves a number of clinical decisions to be considered at the initial specification of the model and during the estimation as well. For this reason exploratory/observational studies are the most suitable for this methodology. An interesting aspect of SEM in clinical trials is its flexibility: almost every hypothesis of cause-consequence relationship between observed and latent variable can be modeled and tested. Clinical judgment can and must guide this hypothesis, but it allows statisticians the freedom to test every possible idea.

Mathematical Setting

Fig.1 shows the mathematical setting is divided into two main parts: measurement model and structural model. The power of SEM is that it can consider both jointly. Many repetitive estimators (TSLS, ML, WLS, ULS, etc.) are used to approximate the parameters of the model accounting for the covariance matrix of observed variables as much as possible.

stat-blog-fig-1

Statistical Equation Modeling

 

The circled variables in the figure are latent factor, measured by observed variables (e.g. results from medical tests), in squares.

statistical modeling clinical trials

Software

A dedicated licensed software, Mplus, is currently being used by CROS NT to perform SEM analysis. Mplus is a comprehensive software solution with online support that permits very complex analysis design.

What is next

Structural Equation Modeling is becoming a more popular statistical methodology in clinical trials, and new studies and publications will bring more knowledge on the topic.

CROS NT is currently providing statistical analysis and consultancy support for a complex study on Small Airways Disease Assessment and is implementing this methodology.  Initial results have been very  promising.

CROS NT is a niche provider of clinical data services for clinical trials including biostatistics analysis, programming and consultancy. Our biostatistics methodology team is led by experts with over 30 years of experience in the field. We offer biostatistics consultancy on a case-by-case basis for trial and protocol design and statistical methodology. Contact us if you are interested in an initial consultation on SEM for an upcoming study.